Evil’s Week 15 Results and Week 16 Picks
Turns out that during Week 14 there was a good bet, but the spreads weren’t posted by the time I put up my predictions. The bet was that Oakland would cover the 10 point spread by beating Denver. Well it was a good bet all the way up till they actually played (or in the case of Oakland, not…) the game.
Then likewise there was a good bet that Baltimore would cover the 3 point spread by beating the crap out of Denver. Which goes to prove my rule: Never make bets on the B teams. Baltimore and Buffalo will play fine right up until the moment you put money on them. Then, suddenly, they mimic Oakland.
So imagine my terror as I tell you that the only good bet this week is that Cleveland will cover the 13 point spread versus Denver. I see a terrifying pattern where I lose all my money to a bookie. I guess it’s fortunate I have no money.
For week 15 this was my take:
|
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
|
Cincinnati |
Philadelphia |
21 |
23 |
Philadelphia |
2 |
44 |
|
NY Giants |
Atlanta |
23 |
23 |
Atlanta |
1 |
46 |
|
Denver |
Baltimore |
18 |
26 |
Baltimore |
7 |
44 |
|
Green Bay |
Chicago |
22 |
21 |
Green Bay |
1 |
43 |
|
Washington |
Cleveland |
19 |
20 |
Cleveland |
1 |
38 |
|
Indianapolis |
Houston |
19 |
27 |
Houston |
8 |
46 |
|
Jacksonville |
Miami |
20 |
22 |
Miami |
2 |
41 |
|
Tampa Bay |
New Orleans |
21 |
29 |
New Orleans |
8 |
50 |
|
Minnesota |
St. Louis |
20 |
21 |
St. Louis |
1 |
41 |
|
Detroit |
Arizona |
23 |
24 |
Arizona |
1 |
47 |
|
Seattle |
Buffalo |
20 |
22 |
Buffalo |
2 |
43 |
|
Carolina |
San Diego |
19 |
26 |
San Diego |
7 |
44 |
|
Pittsburgh |
Dallas |
22 |
23 |
Dallas |
1 |
45 |
|
Kansas City |
Oakland |
21 |
24 |
Oakland |
3 |
46 |
|
San Francisco |
New England |
19 |
24 |
New England |
5 |
43 |
|
NY Jets |
Tennessee |
22 |
21 |
NY Jets |
1 |
44 |
Vegas for week 15:
|
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
|
Cincinnati |
5 |
45 |
Philadelphia |
Under |
|
Atlanta |
1 |
50 |
NY Giants |
Under |
|
Denver |
3 |
48 |
Baltimore |
Under |
|
Green Bay |
3 |
43.5 |
Chicago |
Under |
|
Cleveland |
4 |
40.5 |
Washington |
Under |
|
Houston |
10.5 |
48 |
Indianapolis |
Under |
|
Miami |
7.5 |
38.5 |
Jacksonville |
Over |
|
New Orleans |
3.5 |
55 |
New Orleans |
Under |
|
St. Louis |
2.5 |
39.5 |
Minnesota |
Over |
|
Detroit |
5.5 |
43.5 |
Arizona |
Over |
|
Seattle |
4.5 |
44 |
Buffalo |
Under |
|
San Diego |
3 |
45.5 |
San Diego |
Under |
|
Pittsburgh |
2 |
46 |
Dallas |
Under |
|
Oakland |
4 |
43.5 |
Kansas City |
Over |
|
New England |
4 |
47.5 |
New England |
Under |
|
NY Jets |
1 |
40.5 |
NY Jets |
Over |
Week 16
My take this week:
|
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
|
Atlanta |
Detroit |
22 |
23 |
Detroit |
1 |
46 |
|
NY Giants |
Baltimore |
20 |
23 |
Baltimore |
3 |
44 |
|
Oakland |
Carolina |
23 |
22 |
Oakland |
0 |
45 |
|
New Orleans |
Dallas |
26 |
26 |
Dallas |
0 |
52 |
|
Tennessee |
Green Bay |
19 |
27 |
Green Bay |
7 |
46 |
|
Minnesota |
Houston |
19 |
26 |
Houston |
7 |
45 |
|
New England |
Jacksonville |
28 |
18 |
New England |
9 |
46 |
|
Indianapolis |
Kansas City |
20 |
22 |
Kansas City |
2 |
42 |
|
Buffalo |
Miami |
19 |
24 |
Miami |
6 |
43 |
|
Washington |
Philadelphia |
22 |
23 |
Philadelphia |
1 |
45 |
|
Cincinnati |
Pittsburgh |
18 |
23 |
Pittsburgh |
5 |
41 |
|
St. Louis |
Tampa Bay |
18 |
22 |
Tampa Bay |
4 |
41 |
|
Cleveland |
Denver |
21 |
23 |
Denver |
2 |
44 |
|
Chicago |
Arizona |
21 |
20 |
Chicago |
1 |
40 |
|
San Francisco |
Seattle |
20 |
21 |
Seattle |
1 |
41 |
|
San Diego |
NY Jets |
22 |
23 |
NY Jets |
2 |
45 |
Week 16
Vegas this week:
|
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
|
Atlanta |
4 |
50.5 |
Detroit |
Under |
|
NY Giants |
2.5 |
47 |
Baltimore |
Under |
|
Carolina |
8.5 |
46 |
Oakland |
Under |
|
Dallas |
2.5 |
52 |
New Orleans |
Under |
|
Green Bay |
12.5 |
44.5 |
Tennessee |
Over |
|
Houston |
7.5 |
45 |
Minnesota |
Under |
|
New England |
14.5 |
50.5 |
Jacksonville |
Under |
|
Indianapolis |
7 |
41.5 |
Kansas City |
Over |
|
Miami |
4.5 |
41.5 |
Miami |
Over |
|
Washington |
6.5 |
45 |
Philadelphia |
Under |
|
Pittsburgh |
3.5 |
41.5 |
Pittsburgh |
Under |
|
Tampa Bay |
3 |
44 |
Tampa Bay |
Under |
|
Denver |
13 |
44.5 |
Cleveland |
Under |
|
Chicago |
5.5 |
36.5 |
Arizona |
Over |
|
Seattle |
0 |
39 |
Seattle |
Over |
|
NY Jets |
2.5 |
37.5 |
San Diego |
Over |
E.W.
I blame House Speaker John Boehner’s failed plan B for everything that went wrong last week, especially because of Baltimore.