Evil’s Picks
Due to the epic struggle to close one bad business and start the next one, I’ve been too busy to worry with the NFL. So now to keep my sanity from all the spreadsheets and document mining I’ve been doing, I’m making my football picks. Of course, that involves a lot of document mining and spreadsheets.
Hmm… keeping the sanity might be a lost cause.
Here’s the up to date stats/picks.
Week 1
My take:
|
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
|
Dallas |
NY Giants |
21 |
23 |
NY Giants |
2 |
44 |
|
Indianapolis |
Chicago |
21 |
25 |
Chicago |
4 |
45 |
|
Philadelphia |
Cleveland |
22 |
19 |
Philadelphia |
3 |
41 |
|
St. Louis |
Detroit |
17 |
26 |
Detroit |
8 |
43 |
|
Miami |
Houston |
19 |
21 |
Houston |
3 |
40 |
|
Atlanta |
Kansas City |
21 |
19 |
Atlanta |
1 |
40 |
|
Jacksonville |
Minnesota |
18 |
24 |
Minnesota |
6 |
42 |
|
Washington |
New Orleans |
18 |
26 |
New Orleans |
8 |
44 |
|
Buffalo |
NY Jets |
16 |
26 |
NY Jets |
10 |
42 |
|
New England |
Tennessee |
25 |
22 |
New England |
2 |
47 |
|
Seattle |
Arizona |
20 |
25 |
Arizona |
5 |
45 |
|
San Francisco |
Green Bay |
18 |
27 |
Green Bay |
9 |
44 |
|
Carolina |
Tampa Bay |
22 |
22 |
Tampa Bay |
0 |
44 |
|
Pittsburgh |
Denver |
23 |
19 |
Pittsburgh |
4 |
42 |
|
Cincinnati |
Baltimore |
16 |
23 |
Baltimore |
8 |
39 |
|
San Diego |
Oakland |
25 |
22 |
San Diego |
2 |
47 |
Vegas:
|
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
|
NY Giants |
3.5 |
45.5 |
Dallas |
Under |
|
Chicago |
10.0 |
42.5 |
Indianapolis |
Over |
|
Philadelphia |
9 |
42.5 |
Cleveland |
Under |
|
Detroit |
8.5 |
46.5 |
St. Louis |
Under |
|
Houston |
13.0 |
41.5 |
Miami |
Under |
|
Atlanta |
2.5 |
43.0 |
Kansas City |
Under |
|
Minnesota |
3.5 |
38.0 |
Minnesota |
Over |
|
New Orleans |
8.5 |
50.0 |
Washington |
Under |
|
NY Jets |
3.0 |
39.0 |
NY Jets |
Over |
|
New England |
5.5 |
48.0 |
Tennessee |
Under |
|
Seattle |
3.0 |
41.0 |
Arizona |
Over |
|
Green Bay |
5.0 |
46.5 |
Green Bay |
Under |
|
Carolina |
3.0 |
45.5 |
Tampa Bay |
Under |
|
Denver |
2.5 |
45.5 |
Pittsburgh |
Under |
|
Baltimore |
7.0 |
43.0 |
Baltimore |
Under |
|
Oakland |
1.0 |
47.5 |
San Diego |
Under |
There was one good bet: that Miami would cover the 13 point spread. Fortunately I am too broke to have put money on that, cause apparently if you’re Texan, Dolphins taste just like chicken, dead.
Week 2
My take:
|
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
|
Chicago |
Green Bay |
18 |
25 |
Green Bay |
7 |
43 |
|
Kansas City |
Buffalo |
19 |
21 |
Buffalo |
2 |
41 |
|
New Orleans |
Carolina |
24 |
20 |
New Orleans |
4 |
44 |
|
Cleveland |
Cincinnati |
19 |
21 |
Cincinnati |
2 |
39 |
|
Minnesota |
Indianapolis |
20 |
24 |
Indianapolis |
5 |
44 |
|
Houston |
Jacksonville |
23 |
20 |
Houston |
2 |
43 |
|
Arizona |
New England |
17 |
27 |
New England |
11 |
44 |
|
Tampa Bay |
NY Giants |
21 |
24 |
NY Giants |
3 |
45 |
|
Baltimore |
Philadelphia |
20 |
20 |
Philadelphia |
0 |
41 |
|
Oakland |
Miami |
22 |
22 |
Miami |
0 |
43 |
|
Dallas |
Seattle |
20 |
21 |
Seattle |
2 |
41 |
|
Washington |
St. Louis |
20 |
19 |
Washington |
1 |
39 |
|
NY Jets |
Pittsburgh |
18 |
23 |
Pittsburgh |
4 |
41 |
|
Tennessee |
San Diego |
19 |
24 |
San Diego |
5 |
42 |
|
Detroit |
San Francisco |
17 |
25 |
San Francisco |
8 |
42 |
|
Denver |
Atlanta |
20 |
26 |
Atlanta |
6 |
46 |
Vegas:
|
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
|
Green Bay |
5.0 |
50.5 |
Green Bay |
Under |
|
Buffalo |
3.0 |
45.0 |
Kansas City |
Under |
|
New Orleans |
3 |
53.5 |
New Orleans |
Under |
|
Cincinnati |
7 |
39.5 |
Cleveland |
Under |
|
Minnesota |
3.0 |
45.5 |
Indianapolis |
Under |
|
Houston |
6.5 |
40.0 |
Jacksonville |
Over |
|
New England |
13.5 |
47.0 |
Arizona |
Under |
|
NY Giants |
7.5 |
43.5 |
Tampa Bay |
Over |
|
Philadelphia |
3.0 |
47.0 |
Baltimore |
Under |
|
Oakland |
1.5 |
41.0 |
Miami |
Over |
|
Dallas |
3.0 |
42.5 |
Seattle |
Under |
|
Washington |
3.5 |
42.5 |
St. Louis |
Under |
|
Pittsburgh |
4.5 |
43.0 |
NY Jets |
Under |
|
San Diego |
6.5 |
43.5 |
Tennessee |
Under |
|
San Francisco |
7.0 |
46.0 |
San Francisco |
Under |
|
Atlanta |
3.0 |
50.5 |
Atlanta |
Under |
No good bets this week so, of course, I’m winning on most all the bets I wouldn’t have taken.
Week 3
My take:
|
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
|
NY Giants |
Carolina |
23 |
21 |
NY Giants |
2 |
44 |
|
St. Louis |
Chicago |
16 |
24 |
Chicago |
8 |
41 |
|
Buffalo |
Cleveland |
18 |
23 |
Cleveland |
4 |
41 |
|
Tampa Bay |
Dallas |
20 |
25 |
Dallas |
5 |
45 |
|
Jacksonville |
Indianapolis |
18 |
23 |
Indianapolis |
5 |
41 |
|
NY Jets |
Miami |
21 |
21 |
NY Jets |
0 |
42 |
|
San Francisco |
Minnesota |
19 |
22 |
Minnesota |
3 |
41 |
|
Kansas City |
New Orleans |
18 |
27 |
New Orleans |
9 |
46 |
|
Detroit |
Tennessee |
21 |
24 |
Tennessee |
3 |
45 |
|
Cincinnati |
Washington |
21 |
22 |
Washington |
0 |
43 |
|
Philadelphia |
Arizona |
24 |
23 |
Philadelphia |
1 |
47 |
|
Atlanta |
San Diego |
19 |
24 |
San Diego |
5 |
43 |
|
Houston |
Denver |
25 |
21 |
Houston |
4 |
46 |
|
Pittsburgh |
Oakland |
22 |
20 |
Pittsburgh |
2 |
43 |
|
New England |
Baltimore |
21 |
23 |
Baltimore |
2 |
44 |
|
Green Bay |
Seattle |
23 |
20 |
Green Bay |
3 |
43 |
Vegas:
|
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
|
Carolina |
2.5 |
48.5 |
NY Giants |
Under |
|
Chicago |
7.0 |
42.0 |
Chicago |
Under |
|
Buffalo |
3 |
45 |
Cleveland |
Under |
|
Dallas |
7.5 |
45.5 |
Tampa Bay |
Under |
|
Indianapolis |
3.0 |
43.0 |
Indianapolis |
Under |
|
NY Jets |
2.5 |
40.5 |
Miami |
Over |
|
San Francisco |
7.0 |
42.5 |
Minnesota |
Under |
|
New Orleans |
8.5 |
51.5 |
New Orleans |
Under |
|
Detroit |
4.0 |
47.0 |
Tennessee |
Under |
|
Washington |
3.0 |
49.5 |
Cincinnati |
Under |
|
Philadelphia |
3.0 |
42.0 |
Arizona |
Over |
|
San Diego |
3.0 |
47.0 |
San Diego |
Under |
|
Houston |
1.5 |
43.5 |
Houston |
Over |
|
Pittsburgh |
3.5 |
45.0 |
Oakland |
Under |
|
Baltimore |
3.0 |
48.5 |
New England |
Under |
|
Green Bay |
3.0 |
45.5 |
Seattle |
Under |
One good bet that week, Minnesota covered the spread by beating San Fran. Even better, I’m winning most all the bets. Of course, I have to pay for that awesomeness by losing on half the picks. Why can’t I have it all Football Gods? I’m much less of a butthead than Brady… that was hard to type without beer coming out of my nose.
Finally – Week 4
My take:
|
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
|
Cleveland |
Baltimore |
15 |
23 |
Baltimore |
8 |
39 |
|
Carolina |
Atlanta |
20 |
25 |
Atlanta |
6 |
45 |
|
New England |
Buffalo |
24 |
21 |
New England |
3 |
46 |
|
Minnesota |
Detroit |
20 |
26 |
Detroit |
6 |
46 |
|
Tennessee |
Houston |
19 |
23 |
Houston |
4 |
42 |
|
San Diego |
Kansas City |
23 |
21 |
San Diego |
2 |
44 |
|
San Francisco |
NY Jets |
16 |
22 |
NY Jets |
6 |
38 |
|
Seattle |
St. Louis |
19 |
21 |
St. Louis |
2 |
41 |
|
Miami |
Arizona |
20 |
21 |
Arizona |
2 |
41 |
|
Oakland |
Denver |
23 |
23 |
Denver |
0 |
47 |
|
Cincinnati |
Jacksonville |
20 |
22 |
Jacksonville |
1 |
42 |
|
New Orleans |
Green Bay |
22 |
28 |
Green Bay |
6 |
51 |
|
Washington |
Tampa Bay |
21 |
20 |
Washington |
1 |
41 |
|
NY Giants |
Philadelphia |
23 |
23 |
Philadelphia |
1 |
46 |
|
Chicago |
Dallas |
19 |
22 |
Dallas |
3 |
42 |
Vegas:
|
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
|
Baltimore |
11.5 |
43.5 |
Cleveland |
Under |
|
Atlanta |
7.0 |
48.5 |
Carolina |
Under |
|
New England |
3.5 |
50.5 |
Buffalo |
Under |
|
Detroit |
4 |
48.5 |
Detroit |
Under |
|
Houston |
12.0 |
44.5 |
Tennessee |
Under |
|
San Diego |
1.0 |
44.5 |
San Diego |
Under |
|
San Francisco |
4.0 |
41.5 |
NY Jets |
Under |
|
Seattle |
3.0 |
39.0 |
St. Louis |
Over |
|
Arizona |
5.5 |
39.0 |
Miami |
Over |
|
Denver |
7.0 |
48.5 |
Oakland |
Under |
|
Cincinnati |
1.0 |
43.5 |
Jacksonville |
Under |
|
Green Bay |
7.5 |
53.0 |
New Orleans |
Under |
|
Tampa Bay |
2.5 |
47.5 |
Washington |
Under |
|
Philadelphia |
2.5 |
47.0 |
NY Giants |
Under |
|
Dallas |
3.5 |
42.0 |
Chicago |
Under |
No good bets this week. I have a prediction though: The “real” refs will be just as bad this week as the replacements were due to a lack of practice.
E.W.
I blame the replacement refs for everything that went wrong in my predictions for the first three weeks.
© 2012 Evil Wordsmith. Evilwordsmith.com. All Rights Reserved.