NFL Week 7

footballEvil’s Picks, Bets & Analysis

Well, last week got better for me. First let me point out that ALL of my good bets were right. That’s right, the computer correctly predicted (never mind all those other times…) that Jacksonville would wake up and discover that, even though they really suck, that they actually are an NFL football team. True, they got hammered. But they didn’t get hammered like Vegas said they would. So if you’re gambling with me… well, you’re still down. But only 150% now!

I might be wrong about Detroit this year. Thanks to the slimmest of margins, the computer says they make the playoffs now. Bad part of that is I had to do another strength-of-victory calculation. I need to upgrade my spreadsheets cause that is a pain right now.

The other surprise is Kansas City, and no I don’t mean beating Oakland, Jacksonville could beat Oakland. I mean undefeated at week 6. Someone should comb the stats on that, has KC ever gone 6 games in a row before? My theory is this: Area 51’s existence has been declassified. I think a group of 22 supersoldiers escaped, kidnapped the KC team and replaced them. If they don’t start losing convincingly, the boys at NSA are probably going to notice.

And speaking of surprises, my boys from Carolina absolutely wasted Minnesota. I bet the Vikings wish they had held on to the greatest quarterback of all time. I don’t have to say Brett Favre’s name do I?

I only nailed one game last week, Monday Night Football, which has to be a fluke. It’s a well known fact that teams playing on Monday night suffer bad mojo. Just no way to predict what is going to happen.

In the true failures category, it would appear that Philly had about 10 more points in them than I figured. I think they stole them from Houston. And I think St. Louis got their’s from the Jets.

There are two good bets. One that the KC fan boys are over exuberant. Houston will cover the spread by beating them. The other is that Indianapolis will manage to stop Denver from scoring six hunnit and fiddy points. Take the under bet.

My take:

Away

Home

Away

Home

Favorite

Line

O/U

Seattle

Arizona

19

22

Arizona

2

41

Tampa Bay

Atlanta

20

28

Atlanta

8

48

Cincinnati

Detroit

21

23

Detroit

3

44

Houston

Kansas City

22

18

Houston

4

40

Buffalo

Miami

18

25

Miami

7

43

New England

NY Jets

25

20

New England

5

46

Dallas

Philadelphia

22

22

Philadelphia

0

44

Chicago

Washington

23

21

Chicago

2

44

St. Louis

Carolina

17

21

Carolina

4

39

San Diego

Jacksonville

24

20

San Diego

4

43

San Francisco

Tennessee

22

21

San Francisco

2

43

Baltimore

Pittsburgh

18

21

Pittsburgh

3

39

Cleveland

Green Bay

17

27

Green Bay

10

44

Denver

Indianapolis

23

23

Indianapolis

1

46

Minnesota

NY Giants

21

26

NY Giants

5

48

Vegas this week:

Favorite

Line

O/U

Bet

O/U

Arizona

5.5

41

Seattle

Under

Atlanta

6.5

43

Atlanta

Over

Detroit

2.5

47

Detroit

Under

Kansas City

6.5

39.5

Houston

Over

Miami

7

44

Buffalo

Under

New England

3.5

43.5

New England

Over

Philadelphia

3

56

Dallas

Under

Chicago

1

49

Chicago

Under

Carolina

7

42

St. Louis

Under

San Diego

7

45

Jacksonville

Under

San Francisco

3.5

41

Tennessee

Over

Pittsburgh

2.5

41

Pittsburgh

Under

Green Bay

9.5

45.5

Green Bay

Under

Denver

6.5

56.5

Indianapolis

Under

NY Giants

3.5

47

NY Giants

Over

E.W.

I know I blew the cover on the supersoldiers in KC. However, not even the NSA is bored enough to read my blog.

 

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