Evil’s Picks, Bets & Analysis
Well, last week got better for me. First let me point out that ALL of my good bets were right. That’s right, the computer correctly predicted (never mind all those other times…) that Jacksonville would wake up and discover that, even though they really suck, that they actually are an NFL football team. True, they got hammered. But they didn’t get hammered like Vegas said they would. So if you’re gambling with me… well, you’re still down. But only 150% now!
I might be wrong about Detroit this year. Thanks to the slimmest of margins, the computer says they make the playoffs now. Bad part of that is I had to do another strength-of-victory calculation. I need to upgrade my spreadsheets cause that is a pain right now.
The other surprise is Kansas City, and no I don’t mean beating Oakland, Jacksonville could beat Oakland. I mean undefeated at week 6. Someone should comb the stats on that, has KC ever gone 6 games in a row before? My theory is this: Area 51’s existence has been declassified. I think a group of 22 supersoldiers escaped, kidnapped the KC team and replaced them. If they don’t start losing convincingly, the boys at NSA are probably going to notice.
And speaking of surprises, my boys from Carolina absolutely wasted Minnesota. I bet the Vikings wish they had held on to the greatest quarterback of all time. I don’t have to say Brett Favre’s name do I?
I only nailed one game last week, Monday Night Football, which has to be a fluke. It’s a well known fact that teams playing on Monday night suffer bad mojo. Just no way to predict what is going to happen.
In the true failures category, it would appear that Philly had about 10 more points in them than I figured. I think they stole them from Houston. And I think St. Louis got their’s from the Jets.
There are two good bets. One that the KC fan boys are over exuberant. Houston will cover the spread by beating them. The other is that Indianapolis will manage to stop Denver from scoring six hunnit and fiddy points. Take the under bet.
My take:
Away |
Home |
Away |
Home |
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Seattle |
Arizona |
19 |
22 |
Arizona |
2 |
41 |
Tampa Bay |
Atlanta |
20 |
28 |
Atlanta |
8 |
48 |
Cincinnati |
Detroit |
21 |
23 |
Detroit |
3 |
44 |
Houston |
Kansas City |
22 |
18 |
Houston |
4 |
40 |
Buffalo |
Miami |
18 |
25 |
Miami |
7 |
43 |
New England |
NY Jets |
25 |
20 |
New England |
5 |
46 |
Dallas |
Philadelphia |
22 |
22 |
Philadelphia |
0 |
44 |
Chicago |
Washington |
23 |
21 |
Chicago |
2 |
44 |
St. Louis |
Carolina |
17 |
21 |
Carolina |
4 |
39 |
San Diego |
Jacksonville |
24 |
20 |
San Diego |
4 |
43 |
San Francisco |
Tennessee |
22 |
21 |
San Francisco |
2 |
43 |
Baltimore |
Pittsburgh |
18 |
21 |
Pittsburgh |
3 |
39 |
Cleveland |
Green Bay |
17 |
27 |
Green Bay |
10 |
44 |
Denver |
Indianapolis |
23 |
23 |
Indianapolis |
1 |
46 |
Minnesota |
NY Giants |
21 |
26 |
NY Giants |
5 |
48 |
Vegas this week:
Favorite |
Line |
O/U |
Bet |
O/U |
Arizona |
5.5 |
41 |
Seattle |
Under |
Atlanta |
6.5 |
43 |
Atlanta |
Over |
Detroit |
2.5 |
47 |
Detroit |
Under |
Kansas City |
6.5 |
39.5 |
Houston |
Over |
Miami |
7 |
44 |
Buffalo |
Under |
New England |
3.5 |
43.5 |
New England |
Over |
Philadelphia |
3 |
56 |
Dallas |
Under |
Chicago |
1 |
49 |
Chicago |
Under |
Carolina |
7 |
42 |
St. Louis |
Under |
San Diego |
7 |
45 |
Jacksonville |
Under |
San Francisco |
3.5 |
41 |
Tennessee |
Over |
Pittsburgh |
2.5 |
41 |
Pittsburgh |
Under |
Green Bay |
9.5 |
45.5 |
Green Bay |
Under |
Denver |
6.5 |
56.5 |
Indianapolis |
Under |
NY Giants |
3.5 |
47 |
NY Giants |
Over |
E.W.
I know I blew the cover on the supersoldiers in KC. However, not even the NSA is bored enough to read my blog.
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