NFL Week 3

First a recap of Week 2:

Week 2

My predictions:

 

Away Home Away Home Favorite Line O/U
Chicago Carolina 20 17 Chicago 3 37
Tennessee Cincinnati 20 27 Cincinnati 7 47
Green Bay Detroit 26 20 Green Bay 6 46
Buffalo Jacksonville 10 27 Jacksonville 17 37
Oakland Kansas City 19 26 Kansas City 7 45
Indianapolis Minnesota 20 23 Minnesota 3 43
NY Giants St. Louis 27 17 NY Giants 10 44
New Orleans Washington 17 23 Washington 6 40
San Francisco Seattle 17 27 Seattle 10 44
Atlanta Tampa Bay 17 17 Tampa Bay 0 34
Miami Arizona 20 27 Arizona 7 47
San Diego Denver 23 17 San Diego 6 40
Baltimore Houston 20 20 Houston 0 40
New England NY Jets 24 20 New England 4 44
Pittsburgh Cleveland 17 17 Pittsburgh 0 34
Philadelphia Dallas 23 27 Dallas 4 50

Vegas predictions:

 

Away Home Favorite Line O/U Away Home
Chicago Carolina Carolina 3.0 37.5 17.3 20.3
Tennessee Cincinnati Cincinnati 1.5 37.5 18.0 19.5
Green Bay Detroit Green Bay 3.0 45.0 24.0 21.0
Buffalo Jacksonville Jacksonville 6.0 38.0 16.0 22.0
Oakland Kansas City Kansas City 4.0 35.5 15.8 19.8
Indianapolis Minnesota Indianapolis 2.0 43.5 22.8 20.8
NY Giants St. Louis NY Giants 8.5 42.5 25.5 17.0
New Orleans Washington Washington 0.0 42.5 21.3 21.3
San Francisco Seattle Seattle 8.0 39.0 15.5 23.5
Atlanta Tampa Bay Tampa Bay 8.0 38.0 15.0 23.0
Miami Arizona Arizona 7.0 39.5 16.3 23.3
San Diego Denver San Diego 2.0 45.5 23.8 21.8
Baltimore Houston Houston 4.5 37.5 16.5 21.0
New England NY Jets NY Jets 2.5 37.0 17.3 19.8
Pittsburgh Cleveland Pittsburgh 6.0 44.5 25.3 19.3
Philadelphia Dallas Dallas 6.5 47.0 20.3 26.8


Bets:

 

Away Home Bet O/U
Chicago Carolina Chicago Under
Tennessee Cincinnati Cincinnati Over
Green Bay Detroit Green Bay Over
Buffalo Jacksonville Jacksonville Under
Oakland Kansas City Kansas City Over
Indianapolis Minnesota Minnesota Under
NY Giants St. Louis NY Giants Over
New Orleans Washington Washington Under
San Francisco Seattle Seattle Over
Atlanta Tampa Bay Atlanta Under
Miami Arizona None Over
San Diego Denver San Diego Under
Baltimore Houston Baltimore Over
New England NY Jets New England Over
Pittsburgh Cleveland Cleveland Under
Philadelphia Dallas Philadelphia Over

Good bets:

Buffalo vs. Jacksonville – take Jacks, as Buffalo will find themselves unable to score against the Jacks.

Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland will go under. The boys in Vegas are a little too optimistic about Pittsburgh’s offense.

Outcome:

 

Away Home Winner Away Home Bet O/U
Chicago Carolina Carolina 17 20 Push Under
Tennessee Cincinnati Tennessee 24 7 Tennessee Under
Green Bay Detroit Green Bay 48 25 Green Bay Over
Buffalo Jacksonville Buffalo 20 16 Buffalo Under
Oakland Kansas City Oakland 23 8 Oakland Under
Indianapolis Minnesota Indianapolis 18 15 Indianapolis Under
NY Giants St. Louis NY Giants 41 13 NY Giants Over
New Orleans Washington Washington 24 29 Washington Over
San Francisco Seattle San Francisco 33 30 San Francisco Over
Atlanta Tampa Bay Tampa Bay 9 24 Tampa Bay Under
Miami Arizona Arizona 10 31 Arizona Over
San Diego Denver San Diego 38 31 San Diego Over
New England NY Jets New England 19 10 New England Under
Pittsburgh Cleveland Pittsburgh 10 6 Cleveland Under
Philadelphia Dallas Dallas 37 41 Philadelphia Over

I only called 9 games and got half the betting. I hate Jacksonville.

Week 3

My predictions:

 

Away Home Away Home Favorite Line O/U
Kansas City Atlanta 17 21 Atlanta 4 38
Oakland Buffalo 17 20 Buffalo 3 37
Tampa Bay Chicago 17 24 Chicago 7 41
Carolina Minnesota 20 20 Carolina 0 40
Miami New England 19 24 New England 5 43
Cincinnati NY Giants 26 17 Cincinnati 9 43
Houston Tennessee 17 24 Tennessee 7 41
Arizona Washington 20 26 Washington 6 46
New Orleans Denver 23 20 New Orleans 3 43
Detroit San Francisco 20 26 San Francisco 6 46
St. Louis Seattle 20 27 Seattle 7 47
Cleveland Baltimore 20 20 Baltimore 0 40
Jacksonville Indianapolis 17 24 Indianapolis 7 41
Pittsburgh Philadelphia 17 20 Philadelphia 3 37
Dallas Green Bay 23 17 Dallas 6 40
NY Jets San Diego 17 27 San Diego 10 44


Vegas predictions:

 

Away Home Favorite Line O/U Away Home
Kansas City Atlanta Atlanta 5.5 36.0 15.3 20.8
Oakland Buffalo Buffalo 9.0 36.5 13.8 22.8
Tampa Bay Chicago Chicago 3.0 35.5 16.3 19.3
Carolina Minnesota Minnesota 3.0 37.5 17.3 20.3
Miami New England New England 12.5 36.0 11.8 24.3
Cincinnati NY Giants NY Giants 13.0 41.5 14.3 27.3
Houston Tennessee Tennessee 4.5 39.0 17.3 21.8
Arizona Washington Washington 3.0 42.5 19.8 22.8
New Orleans Denver Denver 5.0 51.0 23.0 28.0
Detroit San Francisco San Francisco 4.0 46.0 21.0 25.0
St. Louis Seattle Seattle 9.5 44.0 17.3 26.8
Cleveland Baltimore Baltimore 2.5 38.5 18.0 20.5
Jacksonville Indianapolis Indianapolis 5.0 42.0 18.5 23.5
Pittsburgh Philadelphia Philadelphia 3.0 44.5 20.8 23.8
Dallas Green Bay Dallas 3.0 51.0 27.0 24.0
NY Jets San Diego San Diego 9.0 44.0 17.5 26.5


Bets:

 

Away Home Bet O/U
Kansas City Atlanta Kansas City Over
Oakland Buffalo Oakland Over
Tampa Bay Chicago Chicago Over
Carolina Minnesota Carolina Over
Miami New England Miami Over
Cincinnati NY Giants Cincinnati Over
Houston Tennessee Tennessee Over
Arizona Washington Washington Over
New Orleans Denver New Orleans Under
Detroit San Francisco San Francisco None
St. Louis Seattle St. Louis Over
Cleveland Baltimore Cleveland Over
Jacksonville Indianapolis Indianapolis Under
Pittsburgh Philadelphia None Under
Dallas Green Bay Dallas Under
NY Jets San Diego San Diego None


Good bets:

Cincinnati vs Giants – Vegas is so far off from the computer prediction that I checked my math here and then the depth chart. It’s true that the Giants are a better team but there is a mismatch here. Even if the Browns don’t win, they’ll cover this spread.

Dallas vs Green Bay will go under. GB has a defense and after last Monday, I’m betting that the Dallas D coordinator will have kicked some butts this week. I expect they will be awake tomorrow for the game.

Here is a new thing, team rankings by yours truly in order from best to Oakland:

New England
San Diego
Indianapolis
Pittsburgh
Jacksonville
Chicago
Dallas
Seattle
Green Ba
Philadelphia
NY Giants
Baltimore
Minnesota
Denver
Washington
New Orleans
Cincinnati
Arizona
Carolina
Kansas City
Tampa Bay
Tennessee
NY Jets
Buffalo
Cleveland
Houston
Miami
Atlanta
St. Louis
Detroit
San Francisco
Oakland

This week, New Orleans defines average.

E.W.

I like winning the bets I call, but I think Pittsburgh and Cleveland might wanna give baggage claim a call and see if they found either offense.