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NFL Week 7

Here’s the picks:

Home Away Winner Vegas Line O/U My Bet
Chicago Cincinnati 20 20 CHI CIN 1 42.5 CHI Under
San Francisco Houston 19 24 HOU HOU 3 44 HOU Under
Minnesota Pittsburgh 19 22 PIT PIT 6 45.5 MIN Under
Indianapolis St. Louis 26 19 IND IND 14 45.5 STL Under
New England Tampa Bay 24 20 NE NE 14.5 45 TB Under
San Diego Kansas City 24 20 SD SD 5 43.5 KC Over
Green Bay Cleveland 23 21 GB GB 9 41 CLE Over
Buffalo Carolina 18 20 CAR CAR 7 37 BUF Over
NY Jets Oakland 20 18 NYJ NYJ 6.5 35 OAK Over
Atlanta Dallas 20 23 DAL DAL 4 47.5 ATL Under
New Orleans Miami 24 20 NO NO 6.5 47 MIA Under
Arizona NY Giants 22 25 NYG NYG 7 46.5 AZ Over
Philadelphia Washington 19 18 PHI PHI 7 37.5 WAS Under

This week, there’s one good bet: Tampa will cover the spread. I know, I bet on Tampa before… but at least it probably won’t snow in Tampa.

Speaking of snow, cold weather, and rain (For you idiots who built domed stadiums, this is how God intended football to be played…) if your team comes from some place like Texas or Florida, or worse, some place indoors and you know you’re going on the road to some place like, say, Green Bay or Foxboro, here’s a tip on practice:

Find your nearest local meat packing plant. Make a deal with the owner to borrow their blast freezer for 3 hours a day. Put your whole team in there for the workout, and I mean everybody, put the fricken water boy in there. After a week of that, your team will be so glad to get into the nice warm snowy rain, playing football will be a breeze.

For extra points, set your kicker’s practice rig right in front of the freezer duct, if he can kick against that 50 MPH, -80° F wind, nothing Mother Nature does to him will bother him. “OH MY GOD! HE JUST GOT HIT BY LIGHTNING!… AND THE KICK IS GOOD!”

Here’s my take on the upcoming playoffs:

Wild Cards AFC NY Jets New England 17 26 New England
Baltimore San Diego 18 24 San Diego
NFC Philadelphia Minnesota 21 21 Minnesota
Green Bay Arizona 25 25 Green Bay
Division AFC New England Pittsburgh 22 22 Pittsburgh
San Diego Indianapolis 19 24 Indianapolis
NFC Minnesota New Orleans 24 24 New Orleans
Green Bay NY Giants 24 23 Green Bay
Conference AFC Indianapolis Pittsburgh 19 22 Pittsburgh
NFC Green Bay New Orleans 25 25 New Orleans
Superbowl Pittsburgh New Orleans 23 23 New Orleans
New Orleans Pittsburgh 20 23 Pittsburgh

Somehow I expect Minnesota to do better than predicted, geriatric Favre is doing a good job of whooping up on those snot nosed kids on the other team. And he still sleeps good on the sidelines, just wake him up and tell him who won when it’s time to go to the lockers. Someone should send him a purple snuggie, for those sideline naps.

Today the kid wanted to make his picks, here they are:

Away Home Pick
Chicago Cincinnati Chicago
San Francisco Houston San Francisco
Minnesota Pittsburgh Pittsburgh
Indianapolis St. Louis St. Louis
New England Tampa Bay Tampa Bay
San Diego Kansas City Kansas City
Green Bay Cleveland Cleveland
Buffalo Carolina Carolina
NY Jets Oakland NY Jets
Atlanta Dallas Dallas
New Orleans Miami New Orleans
Arizona NY Giants Arizona
Philadelphia Washington Washington

E.W.

Six-year-old wisdom:

Queen: Ok, dinner’s ready, turn off the TV and come on.

Prince: Mom! It’s TV dinners, you’re supposed to have the TV on!

This entry was posted on October 24, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 7 – Spring’s Picks

It’s getting a little harder to pick now. At least for me. Eventually one of the 4 undefeated teams is going to loose. But which one and which game?

This week I want to pick my Skins to win over the Eagles, but I don’t think that’s going to happen. I think the Eagles are embarrassed by the loss in Oakland that they’re going to feel as if they have something to prove. Sorry Coach Zorn, this isn’t the week you’re going to turn things around.

I’m taking all the undefeated teams this week, though I think Minnesota has there work cut out for them. My upset pick is Tampa Bay over New England. I have no idea why; just a gut feeling. Another one of those is Carolina, I have no idea why I think they’ll win this week except they’re playing at home and have a little confidence from last week.

So we’ll see. Here’s the Week 7 picks.

Week 7
Sun, Oct 25  Pick
IND @ STL  Indianapolis
MIN @ PIT  Minnesota
NE @ TB  Tampa Bay
CHI @ CIN  Chicago
SD @ KC  Kansas City
GB @ CLE  Green Bay
SF @ HOU  Houston
BUF @ CAR  Carolina
NYJ @ OAK  Oakland
ATL @ DAL  Atlanta
NO @ MIA  New Orleans
ARI @ NYG  NY Giants
Mon, Oct 26
PHI @ WAS  Philadelphia

Byes: Ravens, Broncos, Lions, Jaguars, Seahawks, Titans
This entry was posted on October 20, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 6 – Spring’s Results (10 of 14)

Well it was an interesting weekend. Watching football in the snow is always fun, but not when the home team is totally killing the visitor. Sunday’s New England v Tennessee game was just painful to watch. Thank the football Gods CBS decided to change the coverage to a better game. What a total embarrassment for my Titans. Evidently they need to practice a lot more, and add some snow in the mix for good measure too.

Carolina was a surprise. Who knew they’d take Tampa Bay on the road. Wow. Maybe they realized they weren’t dreaming and the NFL season really had started. Nice they showed up to play. But how in the world did Oakland beat Philadelphia? Holy guacamole. I also lost the pick on the Jets and Buffalo. I knew that one was going to be tough to pick, oh well. I’m not the only one who picked the Jets to win; so did a few of the guys on Fox.

My favorite game of the weekend was Minnesota v Baltimore. I was disappointed that the Viking defense didn’t step up to the plate and match the great performance of Farve and the offense. They allowed the Ravens to come back in the second half and turn a solid win into a hair raising potential loss in the last 2 seconds. That last field goal attempt by Baltimore had me on the edge of my seat, but it cracked me up to see that Brett didn’t even watch it. He had to get off the bench and ask a fellow player if they lost or not. His expression and excitement at hearing the Vikings won was beyond wonderful! What a great game.

And what about Denver. I was worried about them in the first half, but they played up to their potential in the 2nd half just bombarding the Chargers front line. That leaves 4 teams undefeated so far, Denver, Minnisota, New Orleans and Indianapolis.

So here’s the results for Week 6.

Week 6
Sun, Oct 18  Pick  Score
STL @ JAC  Jacksonville  W – 20 / 23
KC @ WAS  Kansas City  W – 14 / 6
HOU @ CIN  Cinncinati  L – 28 / 17
BAL @ MIN  Minnesota  W – 31 / 33
DET @ GB  Green Bay  W – 0 / 26
CLE @ PIT  Pittsburgh  W – 14 / 27
CAR @ TB  Tampa Bay  L – 28 / 21
NYG @ NO  New Orleans  W – 27 / 48
ARI @ SEA  Arizona  W – 27 / 3
PHI @ OAK  Philadelphia  L – 9 / 13
BUF @ NYJ  NY Jets  L – 13 / 16
TEN @ NE  New England  W – 0 / 59
CHI @ ATL  Atlanta  W – 14 / 21
Mon, Oct 19
DEN @ SD  Denver  W – 34 / 23

 Results: W = 10 / L = 4  of 14
 Season: W = 64 / L = 26  of 90
This entry was posted on October 20, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 6

Here’s the picks:

Away Home     Winner Vegas Line O/U My Bet  
Houston Cincinnati 20 23 CIN CIN 5 45 HOU Under
Baltimore Minnesota 20 21 MIN MIN 3 43.5 BAL Under
NY Giants New Orleans 24 24 NYG NO 3 47.5 NYG Over
Carolina Tampa Bay 18 21 TB CAR 3.5 40 TB Under
Kansas City Washington 15 20 WAS WAS 6.5 37 KC Under
Cleveland Pittsburgh 15 24 PIT PIT 14 38 CLE Over
Detroit Green Bay 17 29 GB GB 13.5 48.5 DET Under
St. Louis Jacksonville 16 25 JAC JAC 10 42 STL Under
Philadelphia Oakland 23 16 PHI PHI 14 40.5 OAK Under
Arizona Seattle 20 25 SEA SEA 2.5 47 SEA Under
Tennessee New England 18 24 NE NE 9.5 43.5 TEN Under
Buffalo NY Jets 18 22 NYJ NYJ 10 38 BUF Over
Chicago Atlanta 21 21 CHI ATL 3 46 CHI Under
Denver San Diego 18 26 SD SD 4 44 SD Over

Once again, there are no good bets.

I forgot last week to put my Superbowl picks, this week it got interesting, New England is no longer the king of the hill, they’ve been replaced by Pittsburgh. Also, Brett Favre has knocked Green Bay out of the playoffs almost entirely. Think they miss him?

Wild Cards AFC NY Jets Indianapolis 17 24
    Baltimore San Diego 18 24
           
  NFC Philadelphia New Orleans 23 23
    Green Bay Seattle 21 23
           
Division AFC Indianapolis Pittsburgh 19 22
    San Diego New England 19 25
           
  NFC New Orleans NY Giants 23 23
    Seattle Minnesota 19 24
           
Conference AFC New England Pittsburgh 21 22
           
  NFC Minnesota New Orleans 24 24
           
Superbowl   Pittsburgh New Orleans 23 23
    New Orleans Pittsburgh 20 23

E.W.

The Great Depression of the 21st Century is very depressing.

This entry was posted on October 18, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 6 – Spring’s Picks

 Ok Week 6 Picks

I have no rhyme or reason for some of these. I wanted to pick my Titans over NE, but I’m going against my gut feeling for common sense. I do think Jacksonville will pull out the win at home. And Baltimore v Minnesota might be a tight game, but I think the run will continue for the Vikings.

So here are the picks for Week 6
Update: Sun. Oct. 18.2009 – 12:30pm:
Ok this might be a bad idea, but I’m making a last minute change and going with NO Saints over the NY Giants. I think home field will make the difference today and this will be a big defensive game. NO’s has a better defense and I think they’ll shut down the Giants today.

Week 6
Sun, Oct 18  Pick
STL @ JAC  Jacksonville
KC @ WAS  Kansas City
HOU @ CIN  Cinncinati
BAL @ MIN  Minnesota
DET @ GB  Green Bay
CLE @ PIT  Pittsburgh
CAR @ TB  Tampa Bay
NYG @ NO  New Orleans
ARI @ SEA  Arizona
PHI @ OAK  Philadelphia
BUF @ NYJ  NY Jets
TEN @ NE  New England
CHI @ ATL  Atlanta
Mon, Oct 19
DEN @ SD  Denver

Byes: Cowboys, Colts, Dolphins, 49ers
This entry was posted on October 17, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 5 – Spring’s Results (11 of 14)

Week 5 played out just about like my picks predicted. I’m amazed. The death of Coach Zimmerman’s wife on Thursday gave Cincinnati a greater reason and heart to win their game with Baltimore. Our deepest sympathies to the Zimmerman family and the Bengals for the loss of Mrs. Zimmerman. And kudo’s to the team for their caring support of their coach and giving him a win on weekend he really needed it.

Now some one explain how Buffalo could lose to Cleveland “IN” Buffalo? I just don’t get that one at all. Seahawks and Jacksonville was a surprise to me. Perhaps this is an indication that the Seahawks have stepped it up a notch. At least at home.

My poor Redskins are just in a down spiral. Too much money has been spent on players who demanded big bucks; but who aren’t playing to the status they demanded. Where’s the talent in the younger players? I think blaming everything on Coach Zorn is ridiculous. He can only do so much with Daniel Snyder’s interference. I hate that. Owners pay the bills and gloat about owning a team, but they don’t make player decisions, or interfere with the coaches they’ve paid to manage the team. They shut up, sit down and allow the professionals they hired to do their job!  And if they don’t think they should do that, then I’ll point them to the amazingly great success of Tony Stewart Nascar Driver/Owner who’s number one rule seems to be – delegation and let his staff do their job. Hasn’t the NFL learned how disruptive and destructive owners like Jerry Jones and Daniel Snyder can be to a team. Someone smack these guys for me…please!

Ok so this is how the week played out. 11 wins, 3 losses in the 14 games played.

Week 5
Sun, Oct 11  Pick  Score
CIN @ BAL  Baltimore  L – 17 / 14
TB @ PHI  Philadelphia  W – 14 / 33
CLE @ BUF  Buffalo  L – 6 / 3
PIT @ DET  Pittsburgh  W – 28 / 20
WAS @ CAR  Carolina  W – 17 / 20
DAL @ KC  Dallas  W – 26 / 20
OAK @ NYG  NY Giants  W – 7 / 44
MIN @ STL  Minnesota  W – 38 / 10
ATL @ SF  Atlanta  W – 45 / 10
HOU @ ARI  Arizona  W – 21 / 28
NE @ DEN  Denver  W – 17 / 20
JAC @ SEA  Jacksonville  L – 0 / 41
IND @ TEN  Indianapolis  W – 31 / 9
Mon, Oct 12
NYJ @ MIA  Miami  W – 27 / 31
Results: W = 11 / L = 3  of 14
Season Results: W = 54 / L = 22  of 76
Little over 70%
This entry was posted on October 13, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 5

Here’s the picks:

Away Home Winner Vegas Line O/U My bet:
Cincinnati Baltimore 17 24 BAL BAL 8.5 42 CIN Under
Dallas Kansas City 24 20 DAL DAL 7.5 42.5 KC Over
Tampa Bay Philadelphia 19 23 PHI PHI 15.5 42 TB Under
Minnesota St. Louis 25 20 MIN MIN 10.5 41 STL Over
Oakland NY Giants 19 23 NYG NYG 15.5 37.5 OAK Over
Pittsburgh Detroit 25 18 PIT PIT 10.5 44 DET Under
Cleveland Buffalo 18 22 BUF BUF 6 41 CLE Under
Washington Carolina 19 20 CAR CAR 4 37.5 WAS Over
Atlanta San Francisco 18 20 SF SF 2.5 40.5 ATL Under
Houston Arizona 22 27 AZ AZ 5.5 50 HOU Under
New England Denver 25 21 NE NE 3 41 NE Over
Jacksonville Seattle 19 23 SEA SEA 1.5 44 SEA Under
Indianapolis Tennessee 21 21 TEN IND 4 44.5 TEN Under
NY Jets Miami 21 20 NYJ NYJ 2 36.5 MIA Over

There are two good bets this week (according to the computer…): Tampa will cover the spread, I buy that one, and Oakland won’t get shut completely out, not sure I buy that one. But just like on Wall Street, I’m gonna trust the machine.

E.W.

I miss the good ole days when the spreads moved some during the week, so I didn’t have only Oakland to bet on…

This entry was posted on October 11, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 5 – Spring’s Picks

Here we go for Week 5:

Rumor has it that McNab will be back starting for Philadelphia. I’m sure the Eagles can take Tampa Bay with Vick playing; not so sure if it’s McNab. But I’m going with the Eagles anyway. Washington v Carolina is the next tough pick for me. I hate picking against my Skins, but I just don’t think they have the heart to take the Panthers IN Charlotte. Not to mention SirEvil was born and raised in Charlotte and the Panthers are his team. So even if they beat the Skins, we have a win in the family. Can’t beat that.

I think the high Minnesota is feeling off their win over the Packers will carry them through Sunday and a win over St. Louis. New England and Denver is the next hard pick for me. I think this one might be close, but the Broncos are playing at home and I think that gives them the edge. Same thing for the Jets and Dolphins. After watching Miami’s opener at home, I think they have some good skills this year and I don’t think NY can take them at home.

So here’s my Week 5 Picks. 

Week 5
Sun, Oct 11  Pick
CIN @ BAL  Baltimore
TB @ PHI  Philadelphia
CLE @ BUF  Buffalo
PIT @ DET  Pittsburgh
WAS @ CAR  Carolina
DAL @ KC  Dallas
OAK @ NYG  NY Giants
MIN @ STL  Minnesota
ATL @ SF  Atlanta
HOU @ ARI  Arizona
NE @ DEN  Denver
JAC @ SEA  Jacksonville
IND @ TEN  Indianapolis
Mon, Oct 12
NYJ @ MIA  Miami

Byes: Bears, Packers, Saints, Chargers
This entry was posted on October 6, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 4 – Spring’s Results (13 of 14!)

It was an exceptional almost perfect week. I didn’t expect NE to pull it out over Baltimore. I thought the Ravens were better than that. So that was my only losing bet this week. I’m honestly amazed at how good of a week it was. 13 games picked correctly out of 14 played. Wow, even if I do say so myself.

Speaking of Wow; Monday night’s game was amazing as well. I’m SO glad Bret and the Vikings pulled it out over Green Bay. It was indeed a hard hitting, hard fought game. I can understand making quarterback choices as part of the business of football. But after 16 years of loyalty; where was the loyalty to Bret when the time came? Where was Green Bay when Bret was facing one of the hardest decisions of his life? They were no where to be seen. Monday night’s game showed that lack of loyalty by Green Bay (to one of the leagues greatest players ever)  was an example of karma in action. Way to go Bret and the Vikings! I also think it was apropos that Aaron Rodgers threw his first NFL interceptions in the Monday night game. Not to mention the fumble. Again, karma in action.  

But the week goes on, which brings me to a Happy 40th Bret – life gets better from here. It did for me.

So here are the results from my Week 4 Picks:

Week 4
Sun, Oct 04  Pick  Score
TB @ WAS  Washington  W – 13 / 16
BAL @ NE  Baltimore  L – 21 / 27
TEN @ JAC  Jacksonville  W – 17 / 37
OAK @ HOU  Houston  W – 6 / 29
CIN @ CLE  Cincinnati  W – 23 / 20
SEA @ IND  Indianapolis  W – 17 / 34
NYG @ KC  NY Giants  W- 27 / 16
DET @ CHI  Chicago  W – 24 / 48
BUF @ MIA  Miami  W – 10 / 38
NYJ @ NO  New Orleans  W – 10 / 24
STL @ SF  San Francisco  W – 0 / 35
DAL @ DEN  Denver  W – 10 / 17
SD @ PIT  Pittsburgh  W – 28 / 38
Mon, Oct 05
GB @ MIN  Minnesota  W – 23 / 30
Results: W = 13 / L = 1 of 14

Byes: Cardinals, Falcons, Panthers, Eagles
This entry was posted on October 6, 2009, in Sports - NFL.

NFL Week 4

Here’s the picks:

Away Home     Winner
Detroit Chicago 21 27 Chicago
Baltimore New England 17 24 New England
Tampa Bay Washington 18 20 Washington
NY Giants Kansas City 25 18 NY Giants
Oakland Houston 18 23 Houston
Seattle Indianapolis 18 26 Indianapolis
Tennessee Jacksonville 18 20 Jacksonville
Cincinnati Cleveland 20 22 Cleveland
Buffalo Miami 21 19 Buffalo
NY Jets New Orleans 22 24 New Orleans
Dallas Denver 23 22 Dallas
St. Louis San Francisco 18 22 San Francisco
San Diego Pittsburgh 18 23 Pittsburgh
Green Bay Minnesota 23 22 Green Bay

Again there aren’t any good bets this week.  Last week I got 9 games, but did better than break even on bad bets.  Here are the bets (all bad…) this week:

Away Home Bets  
Detroit Chicago Detroit Over
Baltimore New England New England Under
Tampa Bay Washington Tampa Bay Over
NY Giants Kansas City Kansas City Over
Oakland Houston Oakland Under
Seattle Indianapolis Seattle Under
Tennessee Jacksonville Jacksonville Under
Cincinnati Cleveland Cleveland Over
Buffalo Miami Miami Over
NY Jets New Orleans NY Jets Over
Dallas Denver Denver Over
St. Louis San Francisco St. Louis Over
San Diego Pittsburgh San Diego Under
Green Bay Minnesota Green Bay Under

Mostly underdogs here cause it looks like Vegas is expecting some serious ass whoopin’s this week.
E.W.

I think I’ve accidentally found a good indicator of the economy.  Good bets depend on idiots, with too much money and too much time, running down to Vegas and betting on Detroit (or maybe Washington…) to win by 10.  Last year I think there were 3 weeks that didn’t have any good bets, the 5 or 6 years before that probably had only one week.  This year, so far, there are no good bets at all. No one is coming to Vegas and moving the spreads.

This entry was posted on October 4, 2009, in Sports - NFL.